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For Immediate Release: 8 April 2025

In a NicoPAC poll conducted in April 2025, Congressman Biggs dominates the GOP gubernatorial primary with 65.55% support. Senate President Warren Petersen leads the Attorney General race at 29.94% against Rodney Glassman’s 20.38% and businessman Elijah Norton edges out Justin Olson 24.83% to 18.85% for Treasurer. With 14.85% undecided in the Governor’s race, a substantial 42.35% in the Attorney General contest, and 50.70% for Treasurer, the results offer room for candidates to gain ground as the 2026 primaries approach.

Methodology Statement

The third NicoPAC poll of 477 registered voters in Arizona who are eligible to vote in the next GOP primary. The survey was conducted online in English using targeted Meta lead forms and SMS from 2 April to 6 April 2025. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.49% with the registered voter sample at a 95% confidence interval. The sample was weighed for race, age, party registration, education and gender following the voter turnout file from 2022’s GOP primary in Arizona alongside statewide education data as estimated by the US Census Bureau in 2023.

This poll asked four questions concerning the upcoming GOP primary in Arizona. The first question concerned the gubernatorial race. The second question concerned the Attorney General race. The third question concerned the Treasurer race. Each question on the poll form included two candidates, an option for “Other,” and an option for “Undecided.”

POLL RESULTS

Names displayed as they appeared on the poll

  1. Below are candidate names for Governor of Arizona. If the GOP Primary election were today, how would you vote?
  • Congressman ANDY BIGGS 65.55%
  • Businesswoman KARRIN TAYLOR ROBSON 15.12%
  • OTHER 4.48%
  • UNDECIDED 14.85%
  1. Below are candidate names for Attorney General of Arizona. If the GOP Primary election were today, how would you vote?
  • Senate President WARREN PETERSEN 29.94%
  • Prosecutor RODNEY GLASSMAN 20.34%
  • OTHER 7.33%
  • UNDECIDED 42.35%
  1. Below are candidate names for Treasurer of Arizona. If the GOP Primary election were today, how would you vote?
  • Businessman ELIJAH NORTON 24.83%
  • State Representative JUSTIN OLSON 18.85%
  • OTHER 5.48%
  • UNDECIDED 50.70%

 

Nature of the Sample

Group   % of Sample

White / Caucasian 88.68%
Black / African American 1.47%
Hispanic (Any Race) 6.50%%
Asian / Pacific Islander 0.84%
Other 2.52%

Female 53.04%
Male 46.96%

18-24 2.10%
25-34 2.52%
25-34 2.94%
25-34 6.08%
45-64 8.39%
62+ 77.99%

Registered Republican 446 voters
Registered Independent / Unaffiliated 31 voters

No HS Education 2.52%
High School / Some College 56.81%
Bachelors / Higher 40.65%

Average Age of Respondent 67 years old
Median Age of Respondent 71 years old

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